Contextual Probability and Operational Minimality in Tug-of-War Decision Making
arXiv:2601.10034v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: What connects minimal decision-making to contextual probability? We address this question through the Tug-of-War (TOW) principle, a resource-coupled mechanism for multi-armed bandit decision-making. Starting from classical probability, we show that when reward-learning functionality and specified information requirements are fixed, minimizing the necessary relaxation of common event semantics can lead to nonclassical probability. We deri…